Wednesday, September 05, 2007

Hello Mr. Fantasy - Week One Match Ups

Paul moderately over Bryan

Barring some kind of Wayne-like catastrophe, Paul should edge out Bryan this week through the sheer horsepower of his quarterbacks. Peyton Manning gets a minor feast in the offensively-potent, defensively-inept Saints and Brett Favre should fare okay against the Eagles as long as he remembers to throw the ball with his eyes open. While Paul’s running backs are decent, they might feel like a Hooters waitress with the stiff opposition they get in the Patriots and Bears, who can nullify the best of fantasy attacks. Peering over the wide receivers, I’d give the minor edge to Paul again as Matt Jones gets the Titans and Jerry Porter gets the Lions. Throw in Gates and the deal is sealed – Paul takes a closer than expected win.

Ryan creeps by over Dean


Consider this an early Christmas gift Ryan. I’ll give Ryan the win here only because two of my top players face the Baltimore Ravens this week. While I’m not sold on how good they’ll actually be this year, they should make enough of a dent to slow down Rudi Johnson and TJ Housh. Otherwise the quarterbacks are fairly even here – Kitna is facing the best passing defense from a year ago and Romo is facing the team he threw four picks to last year. In terms of running backs, a healthy Gore should have a better game over the Cardinals, than a somewhat healthy Henry over the Bills. I give the edge in wide receivers to myself because I think Reggie Wayne and Hines Ward will likely outperform the likes of Chambers and Horn who have nobody throwing them the ball. Ryan, takes it, but it could swing the other way, depending on a couple of key players for both teams.

Ian barely over Wayne


I’ll say it right now – I could be wrong on this one. Really, this match up is the closest of the week. Wayne and Ian’s quarterbacks are roughly equivalent – I can’t see Eli Manning bettering anything Jake Delhomme does against St. Louis. The running back situation is the same – Jackson has a favourable match up, but so does Addai. I would give a minor edge to Ian with Jones Drew playing the Titans, but depending on his playing time, this could turn the other way. Ian takes the edge on receives with Coles, Johnson and Boldin probably producing better stats than a question mark like Stallworth and an EZ-rider driving Eddie Kennison. The defenses will probably make the ultimate difference as the Patriots get to return Chad Pennington’s passes for touchdowns and the Vikings get to watch more overthrows than a South American government.

Derek convincingly over Dennis

Apparently Herman Edwards is putting the diapers back on Larry Johnson as they look to “protect” him from playing football. Despite this recent news, I still think Derek takes Dennis in a confident win. While Larry Johnson gets less carries than usual, he is playing the Texans, which means if he only gets five runs that each go for 70 yards, Derek should be fine. In a key position, Johnson and Maroney make a stronger pair than McGahee and Taylor, who turn their potential into more broken promises than a dead-beat dad. You can give or take on the quarterbacks and wide receivers since both team feature strong producers in Colston and Fitzgerald, but question-mark players in Burress and Calvin Johnson. With the Ravens and Eagles defense, Derek should have this match up in the bag.

Larry easily over Lindsay


At this point, Larry will easily win, since Lindsay hasn’t set his lineup yet. CBS has Larry by 212, but it could be worse. Once Linsday sets his lineup I can update this post to include my comments, which will no doubt be overstuffed with verbosity and wit.